The cryptocurrency market is having a relief pump following its poor start to the week.
Bitcoin has reclaimed the $80,000 psychological level once again, while Ethereum is now approaching $2,300.
BNB, the native coin of the Binance ecosystem, is up by 2.5% in the last 24 hours, making it the second-best performer in the top 10, behind Hyperliquid’s HYPE token.
BNB is nearing the upper boundary of its horizontal channel at $687 on Friday. A breakout above this level would signal a potential bullish move.
On-chain metrics support this positive outlook, though mixed derivatives sentiment may cap short-term upside momentum.
On-chain data supports a bullish bias
CryptoQuant summary data shows a bullish bias.
BNB’s spot and futures markets show large whale orders, cooling conditions, and buy-side dominance with mostly neutral conditions across other metrics, suggesting a potential upside move.
Furthermore, the derivatives data also present a mixed outlook for BNB. According to CoinGlass, BNB’s long-to-short ratio reads 0.89 on Friday.
This ratio, being below one, reflects bearish sentiment in the market, as more traders are betting on the asset’s price to fall.
In addition to that, the funding rate supports a bullish sentiment. BNB’s OI-Weighted Funding Rate data flipped positive on April 30 and has been positive since then.
The metric currently reads 0.006%, indicating that longs are paying shorts and projecting a bullish sentiment.
This combination indicates investor indecision, limiting the likelihood of a sustained breakout.
BNB price forecast: BNB could rally higher
The BNB/USD 4-hour chart is currently bullish as BNB is outperforming the broader cryptocurrency market.
At press time, BNB is trading at $687, maintaining a constructive bullish bias as it sits above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at roughly $640.72 and $667.16.
If the bullish trend persists, BNB could rally towards the 200-day EMA near $720.87 in the near term.
The momentum indicators also support a further upward rally.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is near 65, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is holding in positive territory, suggesting that buyers retain control but are nearing overbought conditions.
If the rally continues, the bulls would encounter the initial resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the broader downswing near $718.90.
An extended bullish scenario would see BNB surge towards the 200-day EMA at about $720.87, with further resistance levels toward $764.84 and then $810.78.
However, if the bears regain control, the 100-day EMA provides immediate support at $667.16.
Failure to defend this support level would see the bears push BNB’s price lower towards the 50-day EMA, further down near $640.72.
A daily candle close below this level would expose the channel floor and cycle base in the $570.75–$570.16 area.
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